TITLE: Are you
good with numbers?
INTRO: Last month,
everyone was chasing after the 700 MILLION
dollar Powerball Jackpot.
Like millions, one of my teammates was also eyeing it.
Instead of buying few tickets on his own, he started a pool for the team.
Initially, two people got interested. Being engineers, they started their
research and analysis to maximize the probability of winning.
At coffee breaks, Powerball was the only topic of
conversation. And soon enough most of the team was participating in the pool.
Since there was so much hype about it I decided to read up
on Powerball and I came across some interesting things which I am going to
share with you today.
BASICS: Let's
start with some basics. Powerball is a multi-state lottery offered in about 44
states.
As a ticket buyer, you pick SIX numbers.
5 numbers are the white ball numbers ranging 1-69. 6th number is the red ball number ranging
1-26.
You pay 2$ for one ticket and you can select your own
numbers or do a quick pick where a machine picks random numbers for you.
The drawing happens TWICE
a week and the JACKPOT IS WON by
matching all five white ball numbers in any order and the red ball number.
And the odds of winning a jackpot are EXTREMELY LOW. The odds are 1
IN 292 MILLION.
The initial jackpot is set to 40 million. And if no one wins
the jackpot, a large part from the sales of latest round of Powerball tickets is
rolled over into the next jackpot. Therefore if no one wins consecutively, the
jackpot gets huge as happened with the jackpot last month when it became 768
million because there was no winner for 21 consecutive drawings.
In the past, the jackpot never got so huge, it is a recent
phenomenon.
Previously, the white ball range was 1 to 59 and the red
ball range was 1 to 35 which resulted into slightly better odds of 1 in 175
million. Since odds were better, the jackpots didn't become huge as there was
always a winner in the early drawings which turned out to be a BIG Problem for
the lottery company.
It turns out players were done throwing away their money for
smaller jackpots. As a result, Powerball sales slumped.
Powerball realized that huge jackpots attracted more people.
Therefore, Powerball officials changed the game rules in October 2015. The new
game was designed to “engineer” bigger jackpots so that buying frenzies can
develop for huge jackpots like the jackpot last month.
By the way, the jackpot last month was the second largest jackpot
not only in Powerball history but also it was the second biggest lottery
jackpot in the U.S. history. The largest jackpot with the value of 1.5 billion
dollars was also produced by Powerball last year in January.
HOW BAD ARE THE ODDS?
Let me give you an example. As per National Safety Council
report, there were 1.25 fatalities for every 100 million driven miles in 2016.
Therefore, if you drive 2 miles to the store to buy your
Powerball ticket, your chance of being killed or killing someone else is about
7 times greater than the chance of winning the Powerball Jackpot.
WHO ARE THE WINNERS
AND WHO ARE THE REAL LOSER?
Besides that, one lucky person who wins the jackpot there
are several known winners.
·
Federal Government (Lottery winnings are taxed
at 39%)
·
State Governments (Lottery winnings are taxed at
5% in KS and states also get the direct share of lottery ticket sales)
·
Merchants that sell tickets (Gets commission for
each ticket they sell, gets additional commissions if the winning lottery is
from their store)
·
Lottery companies (They are not doing all this
for free)
·
Advertisers and promoters (Paid by the lottery
companies)
And the losers are millions of lottery ticket buyers who at
the end of the drawing only gets a piece of paper.
Advocates of lottery say there are many benefits to the
lottery, the big one being funding state-run programs. Critics of lottery say
it's an unfair tax on poor and ignorant as rich don't buy the lottery. It can
be considered a golden opportunity or a scam depending on which side you are.
CONCLUSION: So
today you learned some basics of Powerball, how bad the odds of winning are and
who are the winners and losers. So, if anyone here stops playing Powerball, you
can thank me for saving your money. And if anyone here starts playing Powerball
and surprisingly wins a jackpot, don’t forget my commission.
And about the people in my team who participated in the pool
last month, I don’t know what happened to them but they all showed up for work
the next day.
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